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Periodical article | Leiden University catalogue | WorldCat |
Title: | Long Term Economic Trends and Development Prospects in South Africa |
Author: | Van der Berg, Servaas |
Year: | 1989 |
Periodical: | African Affairs: The Journal of the Royal African Society |
Volume: | 88 |
Issue: | 351 |
Period: | April |
Pages: | 187-203 |
Language: | English |
Geographic term: | South Africa |
Subjects: | economic development Politics and Government Economics and Trade Labor and Employment Development and Technology |
External link: | https://www.jstor.org/stable/722718 |
Abstract: | Since the early 1970s, the South African economy has undergone fundamental structural changes, for which three types of forces were responsible: first, a deceleration of economic growth, concomitant with a decrease in job creation; second, a shift in the balance of power, especially economic power; and third, a political crisis, reflecting the recognition of the unsustainability of the apartheid paradigm. The prospects are that these structural changes will continue, leading to wage rises for employed blacks; a growing scarcity of jobs; an increasing dichotomy within the black labour force between 'insiders' and (unemployed) 'outsiders'; relatively slow increases in average black incomes and only a small reduction in racial disparities through market forces; greater demands for redistribution through political processes; the narrowing of the gap in social expenditure between race groups; and a major population inflow towards the metropolitan areas, leading to more squatting, more informal sector activity, poor health conditions and crime. Notes, ref. (Also in RSA 2000, vol. 11, no. 1 (1989), p. 16-29.) |