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| Title: | Demographic trends in the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa: development and planning implications |
| Authors: | Nel, E.L. Hill, T.R. |
| Year: | 1998 |
| Periodical: | Urban Forum |
| Volume: | 9 |
| Issue: | 1 |
| Pages: | 131-141 |
| Language: | English |
| Geographic term: | South Africa |
| Subject: | demographic change |
| External link: | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF03033134 |
| Abstract: | An accurate understanding of demographic trends and population statistics is critical to any development planning and infrastructural provision. This paper examines demographic trends in the rural areas and small towns of the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa with a view to analysing and deducing the considerations which planners need to take cognizance of. Four key assumptions are set out and tested through an examination of census data since 1904: 1) small towns are experiencing demographic decline; 2) rural areas are experiencing demographic decline; 3) in urban centres the white population is declining and the black population is static or increasing; 4) in rural areas the white population is declining and black population is static or increasing. As for assumption 1, data show that in all 37 towns no overall decline in population through time is discernible. As for 2, the results verify this in 35 of the 36 districts. As for 3, in all cases the black population is increasing. As for assumption 4, there was an overwhelming decline in the population of rural districts, independent of race. In conclusion, attention is paid to the broader South African political, social and economic context of these demographic changes. Bibliogr. |