Time series analysis of migratory stabilization: a research technique for quantifying individual and group patterns of cyclic migration, with special reference to Sub-Saharan Africa

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Title:	Time series analysis of migratory stabilization: a research technique for quantifying individual and group patterns of cyclic migration, with special reference to Sub-Saharan Africa
Author:	Alverson, H.S.
Year:	1967
Periodical:	African Studies
Volume:	26
Issue:	3
Pages:	139-144
Language:	English
Geographic term:	Subsaharan Africa
Subjects:	labour migration Urbanization and Migration
External link:	https://doi.org/10.1080/00020186708707261
Abstract:	An important common denominator of much of ruralurban migration in many parts of east, west, and southern Africa is its cyclic character. An allied concept is 'stabilisation'. A technique commonly used for measuring or estimating stabilization is: the percentage of some population having spent respectively 5, 10, 15, 20, N years away from their rural homes, i.e. in town. The author of the present article criticizes this index as a trivial one. He also has objections to Mitchell's index (years in town since age 15: years lived since age 15 x 100). Here - after the author presents a technique for rigorously quantifying individual and group variations in the patterning of the physical movement of people between rural and urban and/or industrial areas. Notes; graphs: 1. Time series analysis of migratory stabilization; 2. Selected stabilization curves.