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Periodical article Periodical article Leiden University catalogue Leiden University catalogue WorldCat catalogue WorldCat
Title:The future of AIDS in Africa: lessons from two scenario projects
Author:Fourie, PieterISNI
Year:2007
Periodical:African Journal of AIDS Research
Volume:6
Issue:2
Pages:97-107
Language:English
Geographic terms:Africa
South Africa
Subjects:AIDS
health policy
future
External link:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.2989/16085900709490404
Abstract:Scenario planning or futures studies have their origin in military planning, but have also been used with great success in the private sector, most notably in the energy industry. In 2005 and 2006, UNAIDS and the South African financial services group Metropolitan each published a set of scenarios regarding the future impact of HIV/AIDS in Africa and South Africa, respectively. This article reviews the methodologies and outcomes of those two studies, and highlights the many lessons to be gleaned for HIV-related health planning and policymaking in general. This is the first time that a comparative study has been done on scenario planning that refers to HIV in particular, and the findings may inspire the conceptualization of futures studies elsewhere. Bibliogr., ref., sum. [Journal abstract]
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