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Periodical article Periodical article Leiden University catalogue Leiden University catalogue WorldCat catalogue WorldCat
Title:Seasonality and industrial production in Uganda
Authors:Mugambe, Gloria KempakaISNI
Reilly, BarryISNI
Year:2007
Periodical:African Development Review
Volume:19
Issue:3
Pages:501-518
Language:English
Geographic term:Uganda
Subjects:industrial productivity
seasonality
Development and Technology
Economics and Trade
History and Exploration
External link:https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467-8268.2007.00173.x/pdf
Abstract:The authors explore the seasonal dimension of industrial production activity in Uganda using monthly data covering the period 1987 to 2000. Unit root tests and structural time series modelling are used to ascertain the nature of the seasonal component. The evidence in support of stochastic seasonality is not found to be overwhelming. In treating the seasonal effects as deterministic the authors find, in contrast to the existing evidence from industrialized economies, only a small part of the total variation in output is explained by seasonal factors suggesting a greater role for cyclical and random factors. However, there is some casual empirical evidence suggesting that industrial activity is related to weather conditions. App., bibliogr., sum. [Journal abstract]
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