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Periodical article |
| Title: | A Sticky Information Phillips Curve for South Africa |
| Authors: | Reid, Monique du Rand, Gideon |
| Year: | 2015 |
| Periodical: | South African Journal of Economics (ISSN 0038-2280) |
| Volume: | 83 |
| Issue: | 4 |
| Pages: | 506-526 |
| Language: | English |
| Geographic term: | South Africa |
| Subjects: | inflation unemployment economic models |
| External link: | https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12066 |
| Abstract: | Mankiw and Reis propose the Sticky Information Phillips Curve (SIPC) as an alternative to the standard New Keynesian Phillips Curve to address empirical shortcomings in the latter. A SIPC for South Africa is estimated, and the authors find estimates of information updating probability between 0.69 and 0.81, somewhat higher than suggested by methods using micro-evidence. Because the estimation requires data on expectations of current period inflation and output gap conditional on sequences of earlier period information sets, they provide a detailed analysis of the impact on our estimates of alternative proxies available in South Africa. Bibliogr., notes, ref., sum. [Journal abstract] |